Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.240300 0.256741 0.274093 0.293827 0.315723 0.339356 0.366903
2025-04-06 0.201815 0.225193 0.251525 0.283662 0.322218 0.367499 0.425483
2025-04-13 0.176109 0.202562 0.233770 0.273900 0.325034 0.389327 0.478524
2025-04-20 0.162870 0.192082 0.227908 0.276097 0.340893 0.427688 0.557879
2025-04-27 0.153895 0.185371 0.225276 0.281112 0.359932 0.471965 0.653397
2025-05-04 0.145138 0.177824 0.220398 0.281958 0.372545 0.508234 0.744080
2025-05-11 0.136753 0.169897 0.214040 0.279655 0.379718 0.536706 0.827919
2025-05-18 0.129270 0.162519 0.207658 0.276393 0.384601 0.561711 0.911179
2025-05-25 0.121706 0.154467 0.199632 0.269769 0.383129 0.575441 0.975977
2025-06-01 0.115862 0.148408 0.193956 0.266070 0.385740 0.596341 1.060758
2025-06-08 0.110987 0.143401 0.189416 0.263635 0.390000 0.620640 1.160017
2025-06-15 0.108467 0.141581 0.189387 0.268228 0.406723 0.671235 1.338706
2025-06-22 0.103763 0.136449 0.184219 0.264308 0.408330 0.693161 1.456941
2025-06-29 0.098254 0.129906 0.176588 0.255810 0.400804 0.695293 1.523707
2025-07-06 0.093203 0.123826 0.169356 0.247476 0.392758 0.695170 1.585370
2025-07-13 0.090880 0.121714 0.168179 0.249388 0.404584 0.741696 1.818486
2025-07-20 0.089249 0.120550 0.168401 0.253710 0.421673 0.804394 2.150711
2025-07-27 0.086982 0.118291 0.166709 0.254439 0.431474 0.851555 2.462309
2025-08-03 0.084330 0.115313 0.163674 0.252459 0.435288 0.884141 2.740821
2025-08-10 0.081694 0.112247 0.160333 0.249652 0.436969 0.911446 3.022072
2025-08-17 0.078674 0.108465 0.155622 0.243944 0.431598 0.917824 3.202135
2025-08-24 0.076295 0.105612 0.152345 0.240752 0.431596 0.940142 3.502632
2025-08-31 0.074251 0.103217 0.149729 0.238648 0.433863 0.970018 3.893164